Our weekly crypto derivatives analytics report dives into macro events, the current state of crypto and trading signals from spot trading volume and futures, options and perpetual contracts.

The U.S. presidential election is creating a volatility premium for options expiring after Nov 5, 2024. While longer-term volatility smiles have consistently favored out-of-the-money (OTM) calls, short-term options have recently mirrored this trend. This suggests that the decline in spot prices at the end of September hasn’t significantly dampened sentiment in the derivatives markets.

Please check out some of the report’s highlights.

Futures Activities Subdued After Month-End Expiration

Spot price volatility leading up to the Sep 27, 2024 futures expiration resulted in the highest trading volumes in futures contracts in over a month. This surge was primarily focused on BTC contracts, reflecting a trend we've seen throughout much of the market's recent history. The expiration of a substantial quarterly contract at the end of September caused a decline in open interest, as not all traders opted to roll their positions into later expirations. Consequently, futures activity is currently much lower compared to that in perpetual swap markets.

While the expiration of the September contract led to a significant drop in futures open interest, the effect on perpetual swap contract markets was comparatively mild. Although we observed a decline in perpetual open interest at the end of the month, this was likely due to the closure of long positions as spot prices retreated toward the lower end of their recent range. 

This shift halts an upward trend in open interest that had been approaching all-time highs, but it doesn’t indicate a major decline — especially considering the high trading volumes recorded over the last two days of the month.

BTC ATM Implied Volatility Falls Sharply Since Fed Rate Cut

Positioning in BTC options markets continues to be heavily influenced by the U.S. election narrative. This is most evident in the term structure, which indicates significantly higher volatility expectations following the election, while short-term options are trading at much lower levels. The rise in implied volatility for these shorter tenors contrasts with the recent decline in actual volatility, which has reached lows for the month as spot prices remain relatively stable. 

Over the past week, trade volumes have mirrored this shifting sentiment, showing similar activity in both puts and calls. However, neither trade volumes nor open interest levels have surpassed recent figures, reflecting the range-bound nature of BTC spot prices, which remain influenced by broader macroeconomic factors.

Advanced

BlockSholves X Bybit Tech Report

Bybit X Block Scholes Crypto Derivatives Analytics Report (Oct 2, 2024): Positive Sentiment Persists Following Recent Decline in Spot Prices

Sui has made history as the first blockchain to adopt SCION, a secure alternative to the Border Gateway Protocol (BGP), which protects against Internet routing attacks.

The SPX index was up by 0.01%, with energy, technology, and financial sectors performing well, while consumer discretionary, staples, and communication services lagging. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East also remained in focus. Coindesk Indices, an index measuring broader cryptocurrency market performance was down by 1.56%, with Bitcoin and Ether dropping by 2.48% and by 2.65%, respectively in the past 24 hours.

Today's top performer is W, which surged 10.1% following the launch of Wormholescan v2, featuring enhanced multichain data and developer tools.

Wormhole (W), launched in 2020, is a cross-chain protocol that facilitates communication and token transfers across over 30 blockchain networks. Originally a crypto bridge between Solana and Ethereum, it has expanded to include features like the Portal token bridge and messaging protocols, serving as a comprehensive platform for cross-chain interactions. 

, providing enhanced real-time multichain data for the Wormhole ecosystem. New features include token, chain, and protocol analysis, a governor dashboard, a dedicated analytics page, and a developer section with a VAA parser. Users can explore these updates at 

Check Out the Latest Prices, Charts, and Data of 

Sui has made history as the first blockchain to adopt SCION, a secure alternative to the Border Gateway Protocol (BGP), which protects against Internet routing attacks. SCION addresses security flaws in BGP that have led to significant problems on other networks by preventing malicious traffic rerouting. With SCION, Sui enhances network resilience, safeguards validators from hijacking and DDoS attacks, and boosts performance with reduced latency. This integration solidifies Sui's position as a top blockchain for secure, critical infrastructure applications, maintaining 100% uptime since launching its mainnet.

Yesterday, the total flow for BTC spot ETFs was -$39.2 million, with no flow for GBTC and a negative flow of $39.2 million for non-GBTC ETFs.

, allowing users to earn test XTM and Gems. To participate, users need to download the app via the provided link, install it, and mine tXTM to earn 25 Gems per 1 tXTM mined. More Gems lead to a larger Tari airdrop.

Beginner

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Sui Integrates SCION to Pioneer Blockchain Security Against Internet Routing Attacks

Eigenpie (EGP) is the ETH liquid restaking platform on EigenLayer enabling ETH and LST holders to earn rewards from multiple protocols while maintaining liquidity through liquid restaking tokens (LRTs).

, token holders are required to lock away their tokens for a long time through the 

 (PoS) consensus mechanism on the platform. While this structure helps keep the network liquid and secure, it’s a bit rigid regarding capital efficiency.

To counter this limitation, liquid staking protocols such as 

, which allows staked ETH to be used for other 

 (DeFi) activities, earning token holders extra rewards by issuing liquid staking tokens (LSTs).

However, liquid staking only allows assets to be staked in a single PoS blockchain. This limitation has led to the development of 

. It allows you to use staked assets to secure and earn rewards from multiple protocols through the use of 

One of the liquid restaking protocols operating on EigenLayer is Eigenpie, which lets you stake your staked assets to node operators in exchange for LRTs so you can earn rewards.

Let's examine Eigenpie more closely to see how it’s shaping the liquid restacking narrative in the DeFi ecosystem.

Eigenpie is a liquid restaking protocol within the EigenLayer ecosystem that allows you to earn passive income from both Ethereum staking and EigenLayer restaking while maintaining your assets’ liquidity through the use of LRTs. 

 ecosystem, Eigenpie aims to provide more utility for ETH holders in line with the broader vision of EigenLayer via liquid restaking.

As a native ETH holder or liquid staking participant, you can deposit your assets on Eigenpie, which then restakes them to node validators on EigenLayer. The node validators will then use these assets to power new 

 (AVS) on EigenLayer, allowing you as a token holder to earn extra rewards while maintaining liquid positions. Eigenpie has integrated with various DeFi platforms that let you use your LRTs to explore other yield-earning DeFi opportunities while accumulating Eigenpie points that qualify you for the EGP 

EigenLayer is an Ethereum restaking protocol designed to enhance the capital efficiency of your staked ETH by restaking it across different protocols. As a support layer for the Ethereum network, EigenLayer has a set of node validators who temporarily stake assets and verify transactions securely. Users who delegate their tokens to these node validators receive LRTs, which earn them rewards without unlocking their staked positions.

EigenLayer operates a system of AVS that allows projects such as sidechains, 

 to connect to its liquid restaking token protocols in order to secure their platforms without running full nodes.

As a novel isolated liquid restaking platform of EigenLayer, Eigenpie’s distinctive features include the following.

Eigenpie offers an innovative approach to liquid restaking by offering isolated liquid restaking tokens exclusive to a particular ETH LST. This isolates the risk to only the specific token staked on Eigenpie, and not any other ETH LST’s performance. This feature not only ensures that liquid restaking on Eigenpie is security-focused, but also offers an optimal restaking experience, especially to risk-averse LST holders. Below is a chart with the isolated liquid restaking tokens available on Eigenpie.

Eigenpie also offers isolated native restaking in collaboration with 

, an open-source ETH staking network that uses 

 (SSV) technology to create a decentralized and secure environment for ETH staking by splitting a validator key into several keyshares, which are distributed to multiple nodes. The isolated native restaking feature on Eigenpie allows ETH holders to connect their ETH to the website and restake it through a simple user interface. Once it’s restaked, ETH holders receive egETH tokens that earn them 2x Eigenpie points, resulting in better yields over time.

Eigenpie Enterprise, a restaking feature on Eigenpie designed for institutional grade investors, 

 that are designed to accommodate different enterprises, depending upon their needs.

The first version allows enterprises to participate in native restaking, liquid restaking and DeFi protocols only within the Eigenpie ecosystem in order to reduce their risk of bad debt. Meanwhile, the second version enables institutions to expand their positions from their existing EigenLayer holdings into the Eigenpie Institution Node Delegator, which opens them to more DeFi opportunities since they can deposit their LRTs in their preferred DeFi platform.

Eigenpie Token (EGP) is the governance and reward-earning 

 on Eigenpie. It's designed to ensure the sustainability and long-term success of Eigenpie as a restaking platform. As an EGP holder, you can lock your tokens to receive vlEGP tokens (at a 1:1 ratio) that can then be used to participate in Eigenpie's governance, and to earn rewards for active participation in the ecosystem. 

 EGP has a total supply of 10 million tokens, distributed as shown below:

Eigenpie's airdrop is reserved for holders who accumulate Eigenpie points through user engagement, and for 

 users from Binance and OKX. To accumulate Eigenpie points, users need to remain active on the platform by depositing LSTs. In short, 1 ETH worth of LST deposits on the platform earns you one point per hour. You can also earn points through referral, whereby your additional points are proportionate to the points earned by your referee.

You can buy EGP on Bybit's Spot trading platform. The token is listed as the 

 trading pair. Trading EGP on Bybit's user-friendly terminal is fast and efficient, and comes with 24-hour multilingual customer support.

The liquid restaking concept in cryptocurrency continues to proliferate, since it provides capital-efficient utility for ETH holders. Since Eigenpie is a top protocol on EigenLayer, ETH and LST holders can leverage its features, such as isolated liquid restaking and native restaking, to earn additional passive income from their staked assets.

Furthermore, institutional enterprises can leverage Eigenpie’s platform to access a wide range of DeFi opportunities by using their staked assets. The protocol offers liquid restaking services, and is thus timely as investors continue to explore DeFi opportunities in the crypto market.

Intermediate

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Eigenpie (EGP): ETH Liquid Restaking Powered by EigenLayer

Mumu the Bull is a meme coin built on the Solana blockchain. Learn more about how it works in this article.

 are two of the most iconic. Of the two imposing quadrupeds used to describe general market trends, almost everyone hopes for a bull market, in which prices soar. The crypto project known as Mumu the Bull has taken this classic concept and turned it into a 

. By combining internet trends from around the globe, Mumu the Bull hopes to create the next big thing. Is Mumu the Bull popular right now, and will its price increase in the future? Explore this guide to find out.

 blockchain. Its marketing ties together cartoon animal imagery, similarly to 

, with crypto memes about bull markets. This coin is also known for its competition with the Bobo the Bear meme coin.

According to Mumu the Bull’s creators, the coin’s primary goals are to unite the crypto world by including references to several beloved memes within the crypto universe, and to encourage countless users to trade its coin. In addition to references to bull and bear markets, Mumu the Bull endeavors to capitalize on familiarity with Pepe the Frog meme coins. It uses similar art and occasionally includes cartoon frogs in its memes. Eventually, 

 it will be able to use these playful references to become "the meme coin to rule them all." 

Some crypto investors also believe that Mumu the Bull can function as a market sentiment tracker. Its creators have set up Mumu the Bull to compete with Bobo the Bear. Therefore, some users hope that they’ll be able to predict a bull-vs.-bear crypto market by considering which of the two cryptos has a higher price and/or trading volume.

The Mumu the Bull meme coin project is built on the Solana blockchain. Thus, instead of running its own ledger, it uses the underlying security of Solana to validate and track each transaction. While Solana handles the back end, Mumu the Bull's team is focused on promoting the token. They’ve created multiple social media sites, and spend a lot of time generating memes and artwork surrounding the coin. This allows them to get their coin into the public consciousness, so more crypto enthusiasts will be interested in buying it.

 that automatically removes 0.25% of tokens from the liquidity pool for each sale that’s made. This has resulted in a current total supply of 2.324 trillion tokens. Of the total supply, 95% has been allocated toward liquidity. These tokens quickly ended up being bought and sold on the open market. The remaining 5% of tokens were distributed to the Mumu the Bull team to compensate them for their work.

Initially, the MUMU token struggled to gain attention after its release, trading at roughly $0.000005. However, several months after its launch, Mumu the Bull took the crypto world by storm. Prices suddenly doubled, and then doubled again. By Jul 29, 2024, MUMU had reached an all-time high (ATH) of $0.00012. 

Despite a drop in price from its ATH, Mumu the Bull has still managed to retain popularity. MUMU is currently within the 

 by market cap and among the top 500 cryptocurrencies overall. Furthermore, MUMU’s 24-hour trading volume is $9.87 million (as of Oct 2, 2024), and its price is still up, roughly 1,257% from its ATL. 

This pricing history reveals a lot about the popularity of Mumu the Bull. Instead of following the trend of many meme coins, with a brief spike in interest followed by obscurity, Mumu the Bull has experienced a slow yet steady rise in trading. This coin has gone from an underrated novelty to an iconic meme coin in the 2024 market. Particularly when the market is dealing with bull conditions, Mumu the Bull is trading very well.

MUMU tokens are primarily available through 

 (DEXs). The creators of Mumu the Bull suggest that people purchase MUMU by purchasing Solana tokens, and then swapping Solana for MUMU tokens on a DEX. 

However, if you prefer a more convenient way to invest in MUMU, consider purchasing Mumu the Bull tokens as a Perpetual contract. To get started, you’ll first need to create a Bybit account, then fund it with cryptocurrency and navigate to the 

If you're looking for a diverse portfolio filled with meme coins, the MUMU token is a promising option. Its price is currently low enough that it's not overinflated, yet it's still seeing a lot of trading activity. Thanks to its proximity to the Pepe the Frog universe, Mumu the Bull seems likely to keep its audience interested for some time.

However, this probably isn't a meme coin that's going to turn anyone into a millionaire overnight. While it's performing reasonably well, nothing about the coin indicates an imminent drastic increase in value. It's likely to undergo both small price increases and decreases in the future. Due to the inherent volatility of meme coins, investors need to exercise some caution when purchasing Mumu the Bull. Never overextend yourself financially, and make sure you 

Ultimately, Mumu the Bull is a promising addition to the world of meme coins. By focusing on classic memes about market conditions, it's managed to attract an audience and increase its prices. However, Mumu the Bull has a lot of competition, so only time will tell if this token can become a top meme coin.

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Mumu the Bull (MUMU): A Symbol of the Bull Run Moovement

Bybit Learn

Live ICYMI

In our latest Learn 101 livestream session, we gathered an esteemed panel of crypto experts to share insights on whether BTC will soar to $100K by 2024.

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The extreme volatility of Bitcoin and periods of strong growth throughout its history have created substantial wealth for many investors. Bitcoin breached $70,000 earlier in 2024, and many investors are eagerly awaiting price movement to $100,000.

, we ask, “Will Bitcoin Soar to $100K by 2024?”

, provides a recap of our Learn 101 livestreams, offering you comprehensive expertise and insights from leading figures in the crypto industry in case you miss the livestream.

Joining the livestream on Sep 11, 2024 were four distinguished guests:

Under the moderation of Sabrina Chua, Crypto Evangelist and SEO Editor at Bybit, this episode explores if Bitcoin’s price will reach $100K by 2024.

Bitcoin's Journey — Looking Back to Look Forward

At the start of the livestream, Michael Ionita created an automated trading order to demonstrate how easy it is. It remained running in the background until the end of the stream, when our guests reviewed the order.

Throughout the years, Bitcoin’s price has been influenced by the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, government policy, ETF applications and other factors. Henrique Centieiro stated that short-term macroeconomics are impacted by the Federal Reserve. The economy is currently relatively shaky, and he anticipates more money will be printed. When this last took place, the stock market shot up, and Bitcoin’s price increased substantially. Centieiro attributes this to the level of increased money in circulation.

Referring to a chart that shows a correlation between lowered U.S. interest rates and Bitcoin’s price, Ionita demonstrated that increased money supply has boosted Bitcoin’s prices.

Jerry Li is bullish over the next six months. He reminded us that inflation weakens both the U.S. dollar and purchasing power, and as interest rates drop, he sees a correction in the crypto market that will positively affect Bitcoin’s price.

Centieiro stated that some people will take profits during the rate adjustment. He believes that the next month may be bearish, but there will then be a bull rush.

Ionita said that the market has been impacted by Russia’s new Bitcoin policy, asserting that this is bringing more funds into Bitcoin. However, many people in Russia are holding Bitcoin on a short-term basis because they’re making purchases with it. This makes Russia’s policy impact both bullish and bearish: Ionita maintains that other countries may act on this by prohibiting or limiting Bitcoin because of world events.

Meanwhile, Centieiro stated that the amount of money being kept on exchanges is at an all-time low, which means people are holding for a longer period of time. Bitcoin miners continue to invest in mining equipment. In addition, Michael Saylor has stated that Bitcoin’s price will reach 

Li drew attention to the fact that recently, hash power has increased dramatically, which is attributable to the entrance of more people and countries into the crypto market.

Ionita described the Bitcoin Spot ETF rally of 100%, attributing it to massive public interest. He believes BTC’s price is being heavily restricted because of this huge interest, and expects its price to rise by the end of October, based on the interest in Bitcoin Spot ETFs.

Centieiro said that there’s a lag as money managers decide whether to invest or not. Adding Bitcoin to a fund, even in small amounts, increases diversity and lower risks. He believes this is a win-win situation for money managers.

Li reminded us that Bitcoin will definitely reach $100,000 at some point, but nobody knows when. The upcoming U.S. election may drive its price up, but it could also bring greater volatility. Other catalysts may drive the price up as well.

Ionita referred to his screen again, saying that it’s hard to predict a price for something with multiple variables. However, he referred to the Fibonacci cycle for the current market, which reveals a Bitcoin price prediction between $200,000 to $300,000, adding that it’s impossible to predict the time frame. The average cycle time, however, is 1,069 days, which would extrapolate to the end of October 2025, but this time frame is fuzzy. He believes $200,000 is realistic for the cycle.

Centieiro described some price movement obstacles that have prevented Bitcoin’s price increase or slowed the time frame for BTC hitting $100,000 — the uncertainty of the U.S. election, for one. He also referred to a chart showing a lower flow in market-based mining activity. This indicates a type of magnet for the price. Centieiro also introduced a power log that shows BItcoin’s price should currently be around $90,000. He believes the current price is a pressure cooker, and the price will therefore greatly increase.

Zitane said the main risks that could stymie BTC price growth are regulatory uncertainty, economic instability and military conflicts, among others, directly affecting BTC’s price.

Ionita added that investors should get out of any risky asset in a downturn in order to prevent loss. He stressed the importance of understanding that both BTC and the U.S. dollar are preferred as investments in different situations, and showed a graph indicating that dollar-cost averaging (DCA) isn’t a wise approach for risky assets.

Li, however, stated that he uses DCA. He believes it’s a healthy strategy over a long period of time, due to his confidence that Bitcoin’s price will eventually go back up after a dip.

Centieiro agreed with Ionita that it’s not advisable to use DCA for an asset that’s going to zero. However, he doesn’t believe that Bitcoin will ever go to zero. Centieiro believes in DCA as a solid, long-term strategy to smooth out BTC market volatility.

Zitane has a simple strategy: he only uses DCA. He makes a purchase, and then buys again if the price goes down. He pays attention to the news, keeps buying when the price goes down and continues to reduce his average price.

Ionita reminded us that you can make more money with manual trading if you know what you’re doing. Most people aren’t professional traders, though, and can get wrecked in a bear market if they don’t stay on top of things. He recommends that these traders use an automated algorithm.

Smart Trading — Entering and Exiting with Confidence

Centieiro explained how he enters a trade: he buys BTC and holds it for at least a few years, looking for a relatively cheaper price as compared to previous prices. This is determined by a look at the 200-day moving average. He also looks at the Crypto Fear & Greed Index. Centieiro explained that investors must decide how long they plan to hold BTC 

 buying it. He invests a portion of his investment amount at one time, and spreads the rest of his investment out over several weeks.

Ionita, however, holds his BTC over several months. He looks at Fibonacci and other charts to invest funds in BTC and several other assets, based on risk. He maintains a specific allocation, with more allocation to the least risky assets.

This session of the Learn 101 livestream highlighted “Will Bitcoin Soar to $100K by 2024?”

As part of the livestream, Bybit is holding an 

 that offers you a chance to participate in our pop quiz and win a share of 300 USDT in airdrops. The event period is through September 18, 2024, 11:59PM UTC.

Stay tuned for more discussions on the dynamic world of cryptocurrencies!

Learn Live ICYMI: Will Bitcoin Soar to $100K by 2024?

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