Current US president Donald Trump introduced a universal 10% tariff on imports and higher specific rates for countries like China and Japan, signaling a major shift in US trade policy.

On Apr 2, 2025, Donald Trump announced aggressive US tariffs, including a universal 10% levy on all imports alongside specific rates of 34% on China, 24% on Japan and 20% on the European Union (EU), while the absence of tariffs on Russia was a notable exception. This policy shift resulted in significant volatility in both traditional and cryptocurrency markets.

The timing of Trump's announcement was widely speculated to be strategic, occurring shortly after US stock markets closed in order to mitigate immediate market reactions. However, the following day, Apr 3, 2025, saw substantial declines: the S&P 500 dropped over 5.1%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell more than 5.6%, reflecting investor anxieties about potential economic disruptions and heightened inflation. 

This marked the fifth-worst trading day of the 2020s, with parallels drawn to the infamous Black Thursday in March 2020. But in stark contrast, Bitcoin displayed remarkable resilience, trading around $81.7K, a mere 6% drop from its local bottom of $77K recorded on Mar 10, 2025. This stability suggests that investors may increasingly be viewing cryptocurrencies as a hedge against geopolitical uncertainties, since Bitcoin’s decentralized nature allows it to operate independently of tariffs and supply chain disruptions that affect traditional assets.

Trump characterized the tariff announcement as the beginning of a "Liberation Day," introducing a two-tier system where the universal 10% tariff would take effect on Apr 5, 2025, while reciprocal tariffs targeting around 60 countries would follow on April 9. This reciprocal approach aims to counterbalance existing tariffs imposed by other nations on American products, pushing countries and regions like China, Japan and the EU to reconsider their trade policies. During his speech, Trump presented a chart illustrating the disparities in tariff rates, using it to justify the administration's stance on the need for these measures to correct long-standing trade imbalances.

The implications for Asian countries are particularly severe, with many facing the highest tariffs, including Cambodia at 49%, Laos at 48% and Madagascar at 47%. Economists who favor proactive trade policies view these tariffs as a negotiation tactic, often referred to as a "game of chicken," whereby the US essentially dares other nations to either accept new, more favorable trade terms or face increased costs for their exports to the US. 

Trump argues that many countries impose heavy taxes on American goods that make them less competitive abroad. He believes that by introducing these tariffs, other nations will be compelled to lower their own export taxes on US products, fostering fairer trade conditions. However, critics warn that this strategy could backfire, potentially igniting a trade war damaging to every country and area involved. They express concerns that retaliatory tariffs from other countries might lead to increased costs for American consumers and economic uncertainty for businesses. 

The success of Trump's tariff policy ultimately hinges on whether other nations choose cooperation over confrontation. Proponents of the strategy argue that countries might fear losing access to the lucrative US market, prompting them to negotiate more favorable terms for American exports. If successful, this could theoretically boost US jobs and profits.

In summary, as the situation evolves, the effects of these tariffs on global trade dynamics and market stability remain to be seen, with potentially far-reaching implications for both traditional and cryptocurrency markets.

Amidst the tumultuous landscape created by the recent tariff announcements, Bitcoin has demonstrated a surprising level of resilience. Despite the significant volatility affecting traditional markets, Bitcoin maintained robust support around $80K, showcasing its ability to withstand external economic pressures. This stability is particularly noteworthy when compared to mainstream public equities, which experienced substantial declines in response to the tariffs.

The magnitude of Bitcoin's price drawdown was considerably less severe than that of many established stocks, highlighting its unique position in the financial ecosystem. While indices such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite plummeted over 5%, Bitcoin's relatively mild decline suggests that investors may increasingly view it as a safe haven and alternative asset during times of economic uncertainty.

This resilience can be attributed to several factors. First, Bitcoin's decentralized nature allows it to operate independently of traditional market dynamics and geopolitical influences, making it less susceptible to the same shocks that impact equities tied to physical goods and international trade. Additionally, the growing acceptance of cryptocurrencies as a legitimate asset class has bolstered investor confidence, leading to a more stable demand for Bitcoin, even in volatile environments. In particular, Strategy’s (formerly MicroStrategy) continued accumulation of Bitcoin and BlackRock’s launch of ETP products in Europe continues to cement Bitcoin’s unique position in equity portfolio allocation.

Furthermore, the current market sentiment indicates a shift in the way that investors perceive Bitcoin, particularly as an effective hedge against inflation and geopolitical risks. As traditional markets grapple with the ramifications of aggressive tariff policies, Bitcoin's ability to hold steady at the $80K level may attract more institutional interest, reinforcing its position as a viable alternative investment.

In conclusion, Bitcoin's resilience within the tariff-induced volatility not only highlights its potential as a digital asset, but also suggests a broader acceptance among investors seeking diversification and stability in uncertain economic times. This comparative strength against mainstream equities could signal a pivotal moment in the evolution of cryptocurrency as a mainstream financial instrument. 

Advanced

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Bybit x Santiment: Tariffs-led whipsaw solidifies Bitcoin’s resilience

Our weekly crypto derivatives analytics report delves into macro events; the current state of crypto and trading signals from spot trading volume; and futures, options and perpetual contracts.

As markets near US president Trump's "Liberation Day" for tariffs, crypto remains volatile. BTC has dropped from a local high of $88K to $82K amid signs that tariffs will affect many countries. Implied volatility has spiked and then eased. Other derivatives market metrics show that BTC and ETH volatility smile skews remain significantly skewed toward puts, a level last seen in March 2023.

Please check out the report’s highlights.

BTC options show signs last seen in March 2023

As crypto prices remain highly correlated with macro-sensitive assets, the week began with a surge in short-tenor implied volatility for BTC and ETH. The sell-off continued as President Trump announced tariffs affecting about 90 countries. BTC's front-end volatility quickly fell below longer maturities, and short-dated volatility smiles briefly favored OTM puts, reminiscent of levels seen during the March 2023 US banking crisis. 

SOL options remain the least traded among major cryptocurrencies (i.e., BTC and ETH), but there was a significant rise in call options this week, dominating both volume and open interest. Following the Mar 28, 2025 expirations, many contracts weren’t reopened, with the notional size of call contracts decreasing from over $3.2M to around $2.5M. However, there has been a slight increase in the notional size of open put options, as traders respond to a continued decline from the January all-time high of $250.

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Bybit X Block Scholes crypto derivatives analytics report (Apr 2, 2025): BTC option skews show a bearish sign last seen in 2023

Fidelity recently announced that it would be launching its own stablecoin, to be pegged to the US dollar. Learn more here.

After first making headlines upon filing paperwork for its very own money market fund, Fidelity seems to be taking the next step toward this grand goal by issuing its own 

 pegged to the US dollar could be the start of a multi-stage scheme to help crypto achieve mainstream adoption.

If you're new to fund-issued stablecoins, or perhaps a crypto beginner whose attention has been piqued, you might be wondering how Fidelity’s stablecoin could impact the crypto market. From highlighting how the Fidelity stablecoin differs from its other fiat-backed counterparts (e.g., 

) to elaborating on the possible motives for launching it, here's everything you need to know about the proposed Fidelity stablecoin.

Founded in 1946, Fidelity Investments has built a reputation as a leader in financial services. To date, it's managed trillions of dollars in assets for individuals and institutions alike. 

Known for its innovative approach to investing, Fidelity has consistently stayed ahead of the curve by embracing new technologies and trends. From mutual funds to retirement accounts, it's fair to say that Fidelity is a trusted name in finance, and has successfully established its presence, thanks to its storied legacy in financial services.

Fidelity’s foray into crypto isn’t new. With the demand for digital asset services growing larger over time, the company has quietly been building its presence in the crypto space through 

 since 2018, with dedicated service that provides custody and trading services for institutional and individual investors.

By launching its own stablecoin, Fidelity is taking this commitment toward 

 innovation to the next level, signaling its belief in the long-term growth potential of digital assets.

Like many of its popular stablecoin counterparts, Fidelity’s stablecoin is pegged to the US dollar. This ensures price stability, a critical feature for traders looking to mitigate risk amid 

. Built on blockchain technology, this stablecoin is ostensibly designed to integrate seamlessly with Fidelity’s broader ecosystem of tokenized financial products. This means users can expect a secure, efficient and transparent digital asset that aligns with Fidelity’s high standards.

 like Tether’s USDT and Circle’s USDC dominate the market, Fidelity’s offering brings something unique to the table: trust. As a regulated financial institution with decades of experience, Fidelity offers a level of credibility that few other stablecoin issuers can match. Furthermore, its focus on regulatory compliance positions it as a safer alternative for both retail and institutional investors.

Fidelity’s stablecoin represents a deliberate effort to integrate its institutional expertise with blockchain’s efficiencies. By creating a dollar-pegged digital asset, the firm aims to serve as a trusted intermediary for clients navigating both traditional and crypto markets. Moreover, the Fidelity Digital Assets division has already laid the groundwork through Bitcoin custody services and 

. The proposed stablecoin extends this infrastructure, allowing institutional investors to transition seamlessly between volatile cryptocurrencies and stable-value instruments without exiting Fidelity’s ecosystem.

The stablecoin market has grown exponentially, surpassing $200 billion in 2025. This surge is largely being driven by demand for volatility hedging and cross-border payment efficiency. Fidelity recognizes that traders and institutions increasingly require reliable on-ramps between fiat and crypto. Its stablecoin offers a compliant alternative to incumbents, such as Tether and Circle, who face lingering skepticism about reserve transparency. By entering this space, Fidelity would not only meet immediate demand, but position itself as a leader in institutional-grade digital assets, thus appealing to risk-averse entities.

The US regulatory landscape under the current administration has shifted decisively toward crypto-friendly policies, and the Stablecoin Innovation Act and the GENIUS Act are advancing through Congress, aiming to establish clear rules for reserve backing and 

 compliance. Designed with Treasury reserves and audit transparency, Fidelity’s stablecoin aligns with these impending standards. By proactively adopting regulatory best practices, Fidelity avoids the scrutiny faced by Tether — and positions its stablecoin as a “gold standard” for institutional adoption.

Stablecoins generate revenue through interest earned on reserve assets. For example, Tether reported over $6 billion in net income in 2024 from its treasury holdings. Fidelity already manages $80 billion in its Treasury Digital Fund, and can potentially monetize its stablecoin reserves while offering competitive yields to clients. This creates a dual revenue stream, consisting of fees from asset management and interest from stablecoin reserves.

The stablecoin market remains dominated by Tether and Circle, but their retail-focused models leave room for institutional alternatives. Fidelity’s brand reputation, combined with its existing relationships with hedge funds and pension plans, gives it a unique edge. For example, its stablecoin could integrate directly with retirement accounts, allowing 401k participants to allocate to crypto without custody risks. This differentiation is critical as rivals like BlackRock and Franklin Templeton expand their tokenized offerings.

While details are still scarce, the following are some likely use cases for the Fidelity stablecoin.

Using Fidelity’s stablecoin for staking

One of the most exciting use cases for Fidelity’s stablecoin is staking. For traders and investors, staking offers an opportunity to 

 by locking up their assets in support of blockchain networks. With Fidelity’s stablecoin, users could stake their holdings with confidence, knowing they’re backed by one of the most trusted names in finance.

Enhancing market liquidity and capital efficiency

Fidelity’s stablecoin is also expected to enhance liquidity across trading platforms. By providing a reliable medium of exchange that 

 fiat currency and digital assets, this stablecoin could streamline trading operations and reduce transaction costs, creating a win-win for traders and exchanges.

Facilitating real-world asset (RWA) tokenization

Fidelity's stablecoin is strategically positioned to drive the tokenization of RWAs by democratizing access through fractional ownership of commodities and real estate, thus streamlining the trading and settlement of tokenized securities as a stable exchange medium. This could ultimately foster a more efficient and transparent payment ecosystem for tokenized goods and services.

How will this impact the current crypto landscape?

Legitimization and mainstream adoption of crypto

Fidelity's established reputation within traditional finance lends significant credibility to the crypto space. This legitimacy can alleviate concerns among mainstream investors who have been hesitant, due to perceived risks or a lack of understanding. By offering a regulated stablecoin, Fidelity signals that digital assets are becoming a legitimate part of the broader financial landscape, encouraging greater participation from institutional and retail investors alike. This increased confidence can lead to wider adoption of crypto-related products and services, integrating them into everyday financial transactions.

Market stabilization and increased liquidity

The substantial capital that Fidelity brings to the market can significantly increase liquidity, reducing price volatility and making crypto assets more attractive to traditional investors. Increased liquidity facilitates smoother trading and reduces the risk of significant price swings, creating a more stable and predictable market environment.

Fidelity's involvement encourages dialogue between regulators and established financial institutions, leading to clearer and more comprehensive regulatory frameworks for stablecoins and other digital assets. By leveraging its existing compliance and risk management expertise, Fidelity can contribute to the development of robust security standards and best practices for the crypto industry. This increased regulatory clarity and security can reduce the risk of fraud and market manipulation, fostering greater trust and confidence among investors.

he introduction of a regulated stablecoin from a trusted institution can accelerate the integration of traditional financial products and services into the 

 (DeFi) space. Such integration can lead to the development of innovative financial instruments, such as tokenized securities and decentralized lending platforms, bridging the gap between TradFi and DeFi while allowing for far greater capital efficiency within the DeFi space.

Driving crypto infrastructure standardization

Fidelity's participation can drive the development of standardized infrastructure and interoperability protocols, facilitating seamless transactions across different blockchain networks and traditional financial systems. This standardization could improve the efficiency and scalability of the crypto market, thereby enabling greater adoption and integration with existing financial infrastructure.

What are the challenges that Fidelity may face?

While Fidelity's late entry into the stablecoin market is promising, due to its institutional credibility and regulatory focus, it does face substantial challenges. At the top of the list of Fidelity’s potential challenges: competing with established stablecoin giants like USDT and USDC will require Fidelity to demonstrate superior transparency, security and seamless integration of the Fidelity stablecoin within existing ecosystems. 

Building trust with a potentially hesitant crypto native demographic and overcoming established network effects will also require strategic partnerships, competitive incentives and a flawless track record in maintaining a stable peg to the US dollar.

The regulatory environment surrounding stablecoins is rapidly evolving. Recent developments such as the 

 (GENIUS) Act signal a more favorable stance toward crypto in the United States. For companies like Fidelity, this creates an opportunity to innovate within clear regulatory frameworks while addressing concerns around transparency and accountability. However, this evolving legislative landscape doesn't mean that Fidelity is out of the woods yet. This is especially so because regulations aren’t uniform across all jurisdictions. Therefore, Fidelity will need to demonstrate regulatory agility and adaptability to navigate these varying requirements.

Lastly, while there’s speculation that the Fidelity stablecoin could play a huge part in the company’s tokenized money market fund offering, there’s currently nothing set in stone. This is due to the inherent complexities of integrating a newly launched stablecoin into existing financial products, as well as the need to navigate potential regulatory hurdles related to that integration. Since Fidelity Digital Assets and 

 are two separate entities, there will likely be some coordination needed before Fidelity can incorporate its stablecoin into its onchain bond market.

Fidelity’s launch of its own stablecoin marks an important milestone in the evolution of digital finance. By combining stability with trust and regulatory compliance, this new offering has the potential to reshape the way traders interact with crypto. For beginners looking for a safe entry point into crypto, as well as experienced traders seeking reliable tools for staking and liquidity management, Fidelity’s stablecoin offers an enticing proposition. 

Likewise, for institutional traders, the proposed stablecoin provides a compliant and secure bridge between traditional finance and DeFi, unlocking new avenues for managing assets and diversifying portfolios. While challenges remain, Fidelity’s entry is poised to accelerate the integration of digital assets into mainstream finance, ultimately paving the way for wider adoption and innovation.

Intermediate

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Fidelity’s new stablecoin: A bold step into crypto stability

Learn how Amnis Finance (AMI) transforms APT staking with liquid staking solutions. Earn rewards, maintain liquidity, and explore DeFi opportunities seamlessly.

 (DeFi) enthusiasts passionate about exploring the endless opportunities in the crypto market.

, through which your assets are locked for a fixed period and can’t be used for other purposes, liquid staking solutions offer the flexibility to channel your staked assets to yield-generating ventures while preserving liquidity. 

One such platform is Amnis Finance, a pioneering liquid staking protocol on the 

 that provides investors with yield-bearing tokens to leverage DeFi opportunities.

 is a liquid staking platform on the Aptos blockchain whose users can stake their APT tokens and earn rewards through DeFi activities, such as 

Offering a staking APR of 8.02%, Amnis is exclusive to Aptos, a 

 with superior technology known as Move, designed for scalability, security and low-cost transactions.

Through Amnis, those who hold APT (the native token for the Aptos network) can stake their tokens and receive tokens of equivalent value, which they can now use for trading and investing opportunities without unstaking their locked tokens.

Furthermore, Amnis has created new financial instruments that are attractive to institutional investors. These instruments use a yield tokenization concept that splits tokens into yield-bearing and principal tokens.

At the heart of Amnis Finance’s operations is an innovative staking structure designed to provide the involved parties with efficient and flexible investing. Amnis system is powered by smart contracts that enable APT token holders to effortlessly maximize returns without having to lock their capital or run a validator’s node.

The basic architecture of Amnis is composed of the following components:

, it issues amAPT. The user can then use these tokens to participate in the Aptos DeFi ecosystem, or stake them on Amnis to receive stAPT tokens and generate rewards.

, maintaining a 1:1 peg with APT. Users who stake their APT tokens through Amnis Finance receive an equivalent amount of amAPT, which can be utilized across various DeFi platforms without forfeiting staking rewards. This design ensures that users retain flexibility and can engage in activities such as lending, borrowing and liquidity provision, while their assets continue to generate staking yields.

 that allows investors to instantly withdraw their amAPT tokens. This convenient withdrawal feature helps them bypass the 14-day waiting period common with traditional staking.

Amnis Finance has established a reserve mechanism to ensure price stabilization in case of market surges. When necessary, the platform may buy back amAPT, and the profits are transferred to the Amnis treasury.

For users seeking to maximize their staking returns, stAPT offers an auto-compounding yield-bearing option. By depositing amAPT into the stAPT vault, users receive stAPT tokens that represent their share in the staking pool.

As staking rewards accumulate, the value of stAPT increases proportionately, eliminating the need for manual restaking and providing a seamless way to enhance staking yields over time.

Beyond its dual-token model, Amnis Finance introduces an innovative approach to yield optimization through yield tokenization. This process involves 

 yield-bearing assets (such as stAPT) into standardized yield tokens (SY), which are then divided into principal tokens (PT) and yield tokens (YT).

The PT token represents the original value of the staked asset, and can be redeemed at a 1:1 ratio upon maturity, while YT signifies the portion of interest generated over time. This segmentation allows users to tailor their investment strategies by separately managing principal and yield components, offering greater control and flexibility in crafting financial outcomes.

 for the Amnis Finance ecosystem. It’s designed to ensure a balanced ecosystem on the network. AMI token holders can propose changes and vote on key matters regarding the operation of Amnis Finance. AMI is also used as an incentive to promote the adoption of the Amnis Finance liquid staking ecosystem.

Amnis Finance has a total supply of 1 billion AMI tokens, allocated as follows:

Furthermore, Amnis Finance has a token emission schedule (spread over 48 months) that’s designed to facilitate decentralization, ensure balanced distribution and incentivize participants. The vesting schedule is shown below:

 to reward its early adopters and active contributors to its ecosystem. The details of the AMI airdrop are as follows.

30 million AMI tokens were set aside for the Amnis Retroactive Airdrop, in which 10,000 users received rewards for their participation (based on their rankings). The snapshot for those who qualify for this airdrop ran from Nov 7, 2023, to Mar 25, 2025.

Eligibility was determined based on accumulated retroactive points earned through various activities, such as minting APT to amAPT on Amnis, providing amAPT/APT liquidity on platforms like Liquidswap and PancakeSwap, and depositing stAPT with Aries Markets.

In addition to the Retroactive Airdrop, Amnis Finance has allocated 5 million AMI for holders of Draconian NFTs, with each NFT granting its holder 1,500 AMI tokens.

Furthermore, to commemorate its token generation event (TGE) and honor community support, Amnis Finance launched an Exclusive TGE NFT Airdrop campaign. This initiative allows participants to earn rare NFTs and claim a share of a 1 million AMI reward pool. The claiming period for Exclusive TGE NFT holders began on Apr 2, 2025, and will remain open for 12 months.

 on Bybit’s Spot trading platform. To celebrate this listing, Bybit is holding two Token Splash events in which a total of 

Amnis Finance is revolutionizing the Aptos ecosystem by unlocking the full potential of the APT token through liquid staking. By converting APT into amAPT, users can earn staking rewards while they maintain liquidity and access to DeFi opportunities.

With added benefits like a Retroactive Airdrop and NFT-based rewards, Amnis incentivizes active participation and long-term engagement. As the platform continues to grow, it’s empowering users to put their APT to work more efficiently, increasing both flexibility and yield.

Whether you're a DeFi enthusiast or a long-term holder, Amnis Finance is a powerful tool for maximizing your Aptos staking potential.

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Amnis Finance (AMI): Maximizing APT potential with a liquid staking protocol

Indicators

Trading

Fibonacci extensions are horizontal lines drawn on a price chart to indicate potential price levels where a trend may target or reverse.

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 to achieve better forecasts, resulting in consistent trading gains. They are a powerful tool that can help you identify price targets, 

, and potential market reversals. Below, we’ll look at what they are, what they indicate, how to draw them, and how Fibonacci extensions and Fibonacci retracements compare to each other.

 These levels are calculated by applying Fibonacci ratios (typically 0.618, 1.000, 1.272, 1.618 and 2.618) to a significant price swing or trend. Traders use these extensions to identify areas of support and resistance when deciding to take profit or make a reversal trade.

While the choice of Fibonacci extension levels ultimately depends on the trader's strategy and risk tolerance, certain levels have proven to be more reliable. The most commonly used Fibonacci extension levels include 0.618 (61.8%), 1.000 (100%) and 1.618 (161.8%), with 0.618 often regarded as a strong support or resistance level. According to 

, 1.000 is a common target for corrective wave patterns, and 1.618 is also called the “golden ratio,” viewed as a potential target for price extensions.

Determining the best time frame in which to trade Fibonacci levels largely depends on the trader's style and preferences. Fibonacci extension levels can be applied to any chart time frame, be it short-term intraday charts or longer-term daily or weekly charts. Shorter time frames, such as 15-minute or hourly charts, are preferred by day traders aiming for quick profits, while swing traders and investors often focus on daily or weekly charts to identify larger price targets and trends.

A trader who correctly applies the Fibonacci extension tool to significant price swings is armed with potential reversal points. This is a huge benefit for traders looking to exit the current trend or enter a trade on the next trend change.

Fibonacci extensions on a price chart reveal critical levels that indicate where a price move might extend to or encounter a rejection. These levels are calculated by multiplying the length of a previous price move by Fibonacci ratios, such as 0.618, 1.000, 1.272, 1.618 and 2.618. Traders use the levels to identify potential support and resistance and to set profit targets.

One of the primary insights Fibonacci extensions provide is the identification of price projections and profit targets. The levels obtained enable traders to anticipate where a price trend may potentially halt or encounter resistance, allowing them to plan their trades accordingly. For those already in the trade, these key price zones offer profit levels to consider closing the trade. For traders not in a position, these potential reversal zones may offer them the opportunity to place a reversal trade.

Traders skilled in technical analysis and Fibonacci extensions will seek out overlap and confluence of key levels on different chart time frames. When this overlap of price levels appears, it signals harmony within the various waves, increasing the potential for a reversal.

Additionally, when you stretch Fibonacci extension levels to the historic price action on the chart, you’ll find that other support and resistance levels may line up in the same price zone. This too is a stronger signal that the support and resistance level is likely to hold, at least initially.

A Fibonacci extension comes from the numbers in the Fibonacci sequence. If you’re unfamiliar, the Fibonacci sequence is:

0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377 …

The next number is always the sum of the two preceding numbers, and continues without a limit. Important Fibonacci ratios are determined from this number string.

For example, let’s focus on the number 144. When you divide 144 by the number to the right of it (233), you get 0.618, or 61.8%. When you divide 144 by the number to the left (89), you get 1.618, or 161.8%.

The 1.618 ratio is considered a golden ratio for reasons beyond the scope of this article. This golden ratio is found abundantly in the natural world. As a result, it’s been applied to markets, and traders use Fibonacci to help manage their trades.

If we continue to compare 144 by two numbers to the left (55), we get 2.618, or 261.8%. In theory, you can apply this little math equation to any number in the sequence and the ratios will approach 61.8%, 161.8% and 261.8%.

Another common number is used with the extension tool at 100%. This is conceived when you compare the numbers at the beginning of the sequence (1 and 1). When you divide 1 by the number to its left (1), you get 100%.

The Fibonacci extension tool is a 3-click-tool on your charts. Here is a simple process to draw it.

Find and activate the Fibonacci Extension drawing tool in your charts. If you don’t see it initially, it might be named Fib Extension or Trend-Based Fib Extension, or it might even be mislabeled as Fib Expansion. Please note that some charts may offer the tool as a 4-click drawing, and that’s okay, too.

If the market is in an uptrend, find a swing low to start the drawing as your first click.

Then, find the next swing high in price and click again for your second click. Essentially, Fibonacci extensions measure the length of the trend between the first and second clicks.

Third, find the next swing low after the second click. This swing low should be above the swing low used for the first click. Effectively, this swing low is a retracement of the previous rally, and is lower than the swing high. Place your third click at this swing low.

At this time, the Fibonacci levels will appear as horizontal lines on your chart.

In the Bitcoin example above from 2018–19, notice how 

 stalls and hesitates near several of the Fibonacci levels (0.618, 1.618, 2.618 and 4.236).

The Fibonacci tool is also used in downtrends, using the same principles to project how deep a correction might travel.

 begins to decline in early 2022 after reaching an all-time high in 2021. Then, after a brief rally, Ethereum begins to correct even further.

After applying the Fibonacci extension tool to the decline, the 2022 price low appears at the 1.618 Fibonacci level. From the June 2022 low, Ethereum rallies nearly 100%, and the Fibonacci extension tool helps identify a support level where the correction will end.

How to Use Fibonacci Extensions to Trade Crypto

The primary use of the Fibonacci extension tool in crypto is to estimate the target price for the end of a trend.

Here are two trading strategies for how a trader might use this information.

#1: Estimate the End of a Bullish Trend to Exit a Long Trade

The first trading strategy applies when a trader is 

, and needs to know when to exit the trade.

 Fibonacci extensions can help many traders determine potential turning points.

In Mar 2022, Ethereum is rallying hard. After pausing briefly, its price continues higher, reaching the 100% level. Then, Ethereum carves a 

, one of the many candlestick patterns traders follow. Since a hanging man is a bearish pattern that forms near significant resistance at the top of a bullish trend, it suggests the market will reverse soon. The next day, Ethereum begins a decline of nearly 50%.

#2: Estimate the End of a Bearish Trend to Open a Long Trade

 in crypto can become … well, unbearable. The second trading strategy is to use the Fibonacci tool by estimating potential support to see where the correction might end. This offers traders a chance to buy into the crypto market at a cheaper price.

When drawing the Fib extension, notice how the price pauses at the 61.8% level, then eventually corrects further to the 100% extension. As tails form out of the downside of the candlesticks, it indicates the market is respecting this Fibonacci extension level. As a result, the trader can begin to formulate the trading strategy to enter in preparation for an uptrend.

In this case, once the 100% extension is reached, Ethereum rallies about 15% in just over a week.

Fibonacci Extensions vs. Fibonacci Retracements

The concepts of Fibonacci extensions and Fibonacci retracements are built around the same Fibonacci sequence. However, how you draw the tools and what information you glean from them differ.

For example, the extension tool is a 3-click tool that measures how far the trend wave is likely to travel. As a result, it requires three points to measure out the first wave, and then project it onto the next wave.

On the other hand, the Fibonacci retracement tool is used simply to see how far the countertrend wave will travel, based on the length of the original wave. Therefore, the Fibonacci retracement tool only needs two points to measure the length of the trend wave effectively.

Lastly, the most common Fibonacci levels for each tool are different. Extension levels generally fall at 100% or greater, while Fibonacci retracement levels are less than 100%

Advantages and Limitations of Fibonacci Extensions

Fibonacci extensions offer traders a valuable tool for chart analysis, aiding in identifying price targets and potential resistance zones. However, it’s vital to understand both the advantages and limitations of utilizing these extensions in order to make informed trading decisions.

: Fibonacci extensions help many traders identify potential price targets, allowing for more precise profit-taking and trade planning.

: Fibonacci extensions can be applied to any market and/or time frame, making them versatile tools for traders across different asset classes.

:Different Fibonacci extension levels can overlap or cluster around the same price area. This cluster or overlap typically leads to a price reversal, providing traders with a clue to exit trades or possibly enter a reversal trade.

: Choosing the appropriate price swing to which to apply extensions requires some practice. Traders of different skill levels may select slightly different swings, potentially leading to variations in where the extension levels land.

: While Fibonacci extensions provide valuable insights, they’re more effective when combined with other technical indicators or chart patterns to form a comprehensive trading strategy.

Ineffective in Trendless or Choppy Markets

:Fibonacci extensions work best in trending markets, and can be less effective in 

 or choppy market conditions where price swings are less prominent.

By leveraging the Fibonacci extension, traders can gain valuable insights into price projections, support and resistance areas, and potential reversal zones. While the fib extension tool has its limitations, when used in a trending market it can be applied to a variety of chart time frames, making it a favorite tool among traders.

How to Use Fibonacci Extensions for Consistent Trading Gains

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